Friday, May 22, 2020

Vikings' Projected Starters

Around The NFL editor, writer, podcaster Gregg Rosenthal is wrapping up his annual task of projecting the starting lineups of all 32 teams. He did the AFC last week. He's doing the NFC this week. On Tuesday, he posted his NFC North projections. This is a mammoth, thankless undertaking. It's mammoth because diving into the ~90-man roster of every team isn't small. It's thankless because there are surely fans of every team that disagree with his projections. Some will disagree simply for the sake of disagreeing. What sort of fans would they be if they didn't disagree with how a national writer views their team? Anyway, this is how Gregg Rosenthal sees, in May, the starting offense and defense of the 2020 Minnesota Vikings.

Offense Player Defense Player
QB Kirk Cousins DE  Danielle Hunter
RB Dalvin Cook DT Shamar Stephen
WR Adam Thielen DT Michael Pierce
WR Justin Jefferson DE Ifeadi Odenigbo
TE Kyle Rudolph OLB Anthony Barr
TE Irv Smith Jr. ILB Eric Kendricks
LT Riley Reiff CB Mike Hughes
LG Pat Elflein CB Jeff Gladney
C Garrett Bradbury CB Holton Hill
RG Dakota Dozier S Harrison Smith
RT Brian O'Neill S Anthony Harris

On offense, Rosenthal went with a second tight end rather than going with C.J. Ham at fullback or a third receiver. He isn't wrong as I'm pretty sure the Vikings will want to have Irv Smith Jr. on the field as much as possible. In his write-up, Rosenthal mentions Smith as a breakout candidate. He isn't wrong.

Ham will see the field plenty.

On defense, he projected the Vikings' nickel defense rather than their base. That's really no surprise as the Vikings are in nickel for about 2/3 of the snaps.

If the Vikings were forced to whip up a depth chart right now, I wouldn't be surprised if Rosenthal's projected starters were at the top of their respective positions. In that sense, he did a fine job, especially for a national writer. Come August, I'd be stunned if Pat Elflein is still the starting left guard and I'd be very surprised if Shamar Stephen is one of the starting defensive tackles.

My current projections for the Vikings' starters, using Rosenthal's offensive and defensive parameters, look something like this:

Offense Player Defense Player
QB Kirk Cousins DE  Danielle Hunter
RB Dalvin Cook DT Armon Watts
WR Adam Thielen DT Michael Pierce
WR Justin Jefferson DE Ifeadi Odenigbo
TE Kyle Rudolph OLB Anthony Barr
TE Irv Smith Jr. ILB Eric Kendricks
LT Riley Reiff CB Mike Hughes
LG         ? CB Jeff Gladney
C Garrett Bradbury CB Holton Hill
RG Dru Samia S Harrison Smith
RT Brian O'Neill S Anthony Harris

On offense, left guard is so wide-open that I can't even project the starter. I suppose that I'd like to see second-round rookie Ezra Cleveland as the starting left tackle and Reiff moving to left guard. That probably puts the five best offensive linemen on the field and that's been the stated goal of the coaches. The wildcard for the left guard spot might be second-year Oli Udoh. That would allow Reiff to hold down the left tackle spot until Cleveland is truly ready for the NFL.

On defense, I really like Armon Watts. I think that he'll be on the field a lot. Whether that's as the starter at 3-technique or as a significant part of the tackle rotation, it's up to him. The other candidate to start next to Michael Pierce is fourth-round rookie James Lynch. If he can be the pass rusher in the NFL that he was in college, he could be the Day 1 starter for the Vikings.

This is a fun May topic. Nice job Mr. Rosenthal. It's rare for a national writer to come in and accurately comment on and tinker with the Vikings' roster.

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