Thursday, April 16, 2020

Throwback Thursday: Final Flea Flicker 2019 Mock Draft

Despite the unrelenting flood of mock drafts throughout the draft evaluation process they are never the slightest bit close to the real thing. If a mock drafter correctly matches six or seven players and teams in the first round, it's a great success. It's rare that a success rate of less than 25%, on anything, can be considered a success. NFL mock drafts are unlike anything. They are incredibly pointless yet many football fans love them. We are a week away from the 2020 NFL Draft. Here's a look back at the success rate of my final mock draft from a year ago.

Here's the Final Flea Flicker 2019 Mock Draft.

1.   Arizona Cardinals-Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama
2.   San Francisco 49ers-Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State
3.   New York Jets-Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky
4.   Oakland Raiders-Ed Oliver, DT, Houston
5.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Devin White, LB, LSU
6.   New York Giants-Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
7.   Jacksonville Jaguars-Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida
8.   Detroit Lions-T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
9.   Buffalo Bills-Rashan Gary, Edge, Michigan
10. Denver Broncos-Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
11. Cincinnati Bengals-Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
12. Green Bay Packers-Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
13. Miami Dolphins-Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
14. Atlanta Falcons-Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
15. Washington Redskins-Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
16. Carolina Panthers-Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State
17. New York Giants-Brian Burns, Edge, Florida State
18. Minnesota Vikings-Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
19. Tennessee Titans-Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson
20. Pittsburgh Steelers-Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
21. Seattle Seahawks-Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
22. Baltimore Ravens-Garrett Bradbury, C, North Carolina State
23. Houston Texans-Kaleb McGary, OT, Washington
24. Oakland Raiders (from Bears)-Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
25. Philadelphia Eagles-Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia
26. Indianapolis Colts-Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
27. Oakland Raiders (from Cowboys)-Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
28. Los Angeles Chargers-Rock Ya-Sin, CB, Temple
29. Seattle Seahawks (from Chiefs)-D.K. Metcalf, WR, Mississippi
30. Green Bay Packers (from Saints)-A.J. Brown, Mississippi
31. Los Angeles Rams-Erik McCoy, C, Texas A&M
32. New England Patriots-Jeffery Simmons, DT, Mississippi State

Here's the real first round of the 2019 NFL Draft.

1.   Arizona Cardinals-Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
2.   San Francisco 49ers-Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State
3.   New York Jets-Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama
4.   Oakland Raiders-Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
5.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Devin White, LB, LSU
6.   New York Giants-Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
7.   Jacksonville Jaguars-Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky
8.   Detroit Lions-T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
9.   Buffalo Bills-Ed Oliver, DT, Houston
10. Pittsburgh Steelers-Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
11. Cincinnati Bengals-Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
12. Green Bay Packers-Rashan Gary, Edge, Michigan
13. Miami Dolphins-Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson
14. Atlanta Falcons-Chris Lindstron, G, Boston College
15. Washington Redskins-Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
16. Carolina Panthers-Brian Burns, Edge, Florida State
17. New York Giants-Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
18. Minnesota Vikings-Garrett Bradbury, C, North Carolina State
19. Tennessee Titans-Jeffery Simmons, DT, Mississippi State
20. Denver Broncos-Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
21. Green Bay Packers-Darnell Savage, S, Maryland
22. Philadelphia Eagles-Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
23. Houston Texans-Tytus Howard, OT, Alabama State
24. Oakland Raiders-Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
25. Baltimore Ravens-Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma
26. Washington Redskins-Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State
27. Oakland Raiders-Johnathan Abram, S, Mississippi State
28. Los Angeles Chargers-Jerry Tillery, DT, Notre Dame
29. Seattle Seahawks-L.J. Collier, DE, TCU
30. New York Giants-Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia
31. Atlanta Falcons-Kaleb McGary, OT, Washington
32. New England Patriots-N'Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State

I believed that the Arizona Cardinals would select Kyler Murray with the first pick. I just didn't agree with it. My mock drafts are always more projections of what I would do rather than what I think that a team will do. As a result, my projections are wrong far more than right.

I'm glad that I was wrong and the Green Bay Packers did not draft Mississippi receiver A.J. Brown.

So, how'd I do with my first round projections?

Correct
2.   San Francisco 49ers-Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State
5.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Devin White, LB, LSU
8.   Detroit Lions-T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
24. Oakland Raiders-Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama

Four right.

For what it's worth, if I didn't have Jonah Williams falling I would've had the Minnesota Vikings selecting Garrett Bradbury.

Somewhat Correct
6.   New York Giants-Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State-Right position. Wrong player.
10. Denver Broncos-Devin Bush, LB, Michigan-Right spot. Wrong team.
15. Washington Redskins-Daniel Jones, QB, Duke-Right position. Wrong player.
16. Carolina Panthers-Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State-Right position. Wrong player.
19. Tennessee Titans-Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson-Right position. Wrong player.
23. Houston Texans-Kaleb McGary, OT, Washington-Right position. Wrong player.
29. Seattle Seahawks-D.K. Metcalf, WR, Mississippi-Right player and team. Wrong round.

4 right!

One more week until this year's real draft. 

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