Mock Drafts are fun but they mean so little. Even the most accurate Mock Draft isn't very accurate. Here's a look at my final Mock Draft from last year.
(Correctly predicted team and player are in bold).
1. Cleveland Browns-Sam Darnold, QB, USC
2. New York Giants-Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State
3. New York Jets-Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma
4. Cleveland Browns-Bradley Chubb, DE, NC State
5. Denver Broncos-Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
6. Indianapolis Colts-Quenton Nelson, G, Notre Dame
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Derwin James, S, Florida State
8. Chicago Bears-Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State
9. San Francisco 49ers-Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia
10. Oakland Raiders-Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
11. Miami Dolphins-Vita Vea, DT, Washington
12. Buffalo Bills-Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming
13. Washington Redskins-Minkah Fitzpatrick, S, Alabama
14. Green Bay Packers-Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa
15. Arizona Cardinals-Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
16. Baltimore Ravens-Marcus Davenport, DE, Texas-San Antonio
17. Los Angeles Chargers-Tremaine Edmunds, LB, Virginia Tech
18. Seattle Seahawks-Mike Hughes, CB, Central Florida
19. Dallas Cowboys-DJ Moore, WR, Maryland
20. Detroit Lions-Derrius Guice, RB, LSU
21. Cincinnati Bengals-Will Hernandez, G, UTEP
22. Buffalo Bills-James Daniels, C, Iowa
23. New England Patriots-Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA
24. Carolina Panthers-Jaire Alexander, CB, Louisville
25. Tennessee Titans-Harold Landry, DE/LB, Boston College
26. Atlanta Falcons-Taven Bryan, DT, Florida
27. New Orleans Saints-Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina
28. Pittsburgh Steelers-Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama
29. Jacksonville Jaguars-Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama
30. Minnesota Vikings-Frank Ragnow, C/G, Arkansas
31. New England Patriots-Leighton Vander Esch, LB, Boise State
32. Philadelphia Eagles-Sony Michel, RB, Georgia
The actual draft looked like this:
1. Cleveland Browns-Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma
2. New York Giants-Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State
3. New York Jets-Sam Darnold, QB, USC
4. Cleveland Browns-Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State
5. Denver Broncos-Bradley Chubb, DE, North Carolina State
6. Indianapolis Colts-Quenton Nelson, G, Notre Dame
7. Buffalo Bills (from Bucs)-Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming
8. Chicago Bears-Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia
9. San Francisco 49ers-Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
10. Arizona Cardinals (from Raiders)-Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
11. Miami Dolphins-Minkah Fitzpatrick, S, Alabama
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Vita Vea, DT, Washington
13. Washington Redskins-Da'Ron Payne, DT, Alabama
14. New Orleans Saints (from Packers)-Marcus Davenport, DE, UTSA
15. Oakland Raiders-Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA
16. Buffalo Bills (from Ravens)-Tremaine Edmunds, LB, Virginia Tech
17. Los Angeles Chargers-Derwin James, S, Florida State
18. Green Bay Packers (from Seahawks)-Jaire Alexander, CB, Louisville
19. Dallas Cowboys-Leighton Vander Esch, LB, Boise State
20. Detroit Lions-Frank Ragnow, C/G, Arkansas
21. Cincinnati Bengals-Billy Price, G, Ohio State
22. Tennessee Titans(from Ravens)-Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama
23. New England Patriots-Isaiah Wynn, G/T, Georgia
24. Carolina Panthers-DJ Moore, WR, Maryland
25. Baltimore Ravens-Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina
26. Atlanta Falcons-Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama
27. Seattle Seahawks-Rashaad Penny, RB, San Diego State
28. Pittsburgh Steelers-Terrell Edmonds, S, Virginia Tech
29. Jacksonville Jaguars-Taven Bryan, DT, Florida
30. Minnesota Vikings-Mike Hughes, CB, Central Florida
31. New England Patriots-Sony Michel, RB, Georgia
32. Baltimore Ravens (from Eagles)-Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
So, I predicted only three team and player correctly. Splendid.
I did put the Packers and Josh Jackson together but the Packers made that pick in the second round.
I did accurately predict the position that a team would select seven times:
(team-mock/actual)
Cleveland Browns-Sam Darnold/Baker Mayfield
New York Jets-Baker Mayfield/Sam Darnold
Oakland Raiders-Mike McGlinchey/Kolton Miller
Green Bay Packers-Josh Jackson/Jaire Alexander
Arizona Cardinals-Lamar Jackson/Josh Rosen
Cincinnati Bengals-Will Hernandez/Billy Price
New England Patriots-Kolton Miller/Isaiah Wynn
There was one player that I got far more right than the NFL. Derwin James. There was no conceivable reason for him to still be on the board at #17. There was no conceivable reason for him to slip out of the top-10. His talent and potential was top-10 caliber, maybe even top-5. His play in college showed that and his play as a rookie proved it.
Mock Drafts are fun. Even if they're wildly inaccurate.
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