Thursday, March 30, 2017

Throwback Thursday: A Look Back At The 2015 Flea Flicker Mock Draft

Last week I looked at last year's final Flea Flicker Mock. That was fun. Why not take a look at the final Flea Flicker Mock of 2015?

1.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Jameis Winston, QB, Florida St.
2.   Tennessee Titans-Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon
3.   Jacksonville Jaguars-Dante Fowler, Jr., Florida
4.   Oakland Raiders-Leonard Williams, DT, USC
5.   Washington Redskins-Vic Beasley, LB/DE, Clemson
6.   New York Jets-Bud Dupree, DE, Kentucky
7.   Chicago Bears-Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama
8.   Atlanta Falcons-Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia
9.   New York Giants-Brandon Scherff, T, Iowa
10. St. Louis Rams-Kevin White, WR, West Virginia
11. Minnesota Vikings-Marcus Peters, CB, Washington
12. Cleveland Browns-DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville
13. New Orleans Saints-Danny Shelton, DT, Washington
14. Miami Dolphins-Melvin Gordon, RB, Michigan
15. San Francisco 49ers-Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan St.
16. Houston Texans-Breshad Perriman, WR, UCF
17. San Diego Chargers-D.J. Humphries, T, Florida
18. Kansas City Chiefs-Arik Armstead, DT, Oregon
19. Cleveland Browns-Randy Gregory, LB/DE, Nebraska
20. Philadelphia Eagles-Nelson Agholor, WR, USC
21. Cincinnati Bengals-Andrus Peat, T, Stanford
22. Pittsburgh Steelers-Jalen Collins, CB, LSU
23. Detroit Lions-D.J. Humphries, T, Florida
24. Arizona Cardinals-Ereck Flowers, T, Miami
25. Carolina Panthers-La'el Collins, T, LSU
26. Baltimore Ravens-Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona St.
27. Dallas Cowboys-Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma
28. Denver Broncos-Cameron Erving, C, Florida St.
29. Indianapolis Colts-Shane Ray, DE, Missouri
30. Green Bay Packers-Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest
31. New Orleans Saints-Eli Harold, LB, Virginia
32. New England Patriots-Byron Jones, CB, Connecticut

For reference, here's the real thing.

1.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Jameis Winston, QB, Florida St.
2.   Tennessee Titans-Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon
3.   Jacksonville Jaguars-Dante Fowler, Jr., Florida
4.   Oakland Raiders-Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama
5.   Washington Redskins-Brandon Scherff, T, Iowa
6.   New York Jets-Leonard Williams, DT, USC
7.   Chicago Bears-Kevin White, WR, West Virginia
8.   Atlanta Falcons-Vic Beasley, LB/DE, Clemson
9.   New York Giants-Ereck Flowers, T, Miami
10. St. Louis Rams-Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia
11. Minnesota Vikings-Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan St.
12. Cleveland Browns-Danny Shelton, DT, Washington
13. New Orleans Saints-Andrus Peat, T, Stanford
14. Miami Dolphins-DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville
15. San Diego Chargers-Melvin Gordon, RB, Michigan
16. Houston Texans-Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest
17. San Francisco 49ers-Arik Armstead, DT, Oregon
18. Kansas City Chiefs-Marcus Peters, CB, Washington
19. Cleveland Browns-Cameron Erving, C, Florida State
20. Philadelphia Eagles-Nelson Agholor, WR, USC
21. Cincinnati Bengals-Cedric Ogbuehi, T, Texas A&M
22. Pittsburgh Steelers-Bud Dupree, DE, Kentucky
23. Denver Broncos-Shane Ray, LB, Missouri
24. Arizona Cardinals-D.J. Humphries, T, Florida
25. Carolina Panthers-Shaq Thompson, LB, Washington
26. Baltimore Ravens-Breshad Perriman, WR, UCF
27. Dallas Cowboys-Byron Jones, CB, Connecticut
28. Detroit Lions-Laken Tomlinson, G, Duke
29. Indianapolis Colts-Philip Dorsett, WR, Miami
30. Green Bay Packers-Damarious Randall, S, Arizona State
31. New Orleans Saints-Stephone Anthony, LB, Clemson
32. New England Patriots-Malcom Brown, DT, Texas

I had a lot of misses. The two quarterbacks at the top of the draft were a given. If I recall correctly Dante Fowler, Jr. to the Jacksonville Jaguars at #3 wasn't a challenge to predict either. The one prediction that I might brag about was the Philadelphia Eagles selection of Nelson Agholor with the 20th pick. For nearly all of the long draft analysis season I had the Minnesota Vikings selecting Trae Waynes at #11. I got cold feet at press time and switched to Marcus Peters.

Of my 28 misses, predicting LSU offensive lineman La'el Collins in the first round was my biggest miss. He wasn't drafted at all. His fall out of the draft wasn't talent-based. He fell out of the draft because he was called in for questioning in a murder case about a week before the draft. It never sounded like the questioning was ever more than a formality but it was enough to make 32 teams nervous about selecting him, at least in the early rounds. When it became clear to Collins that his draft fall would be significant he told teams that it would be in their best interest to not draft him at all. He wanted the freedom of choice that comes with being an undrafted free agent.

My other first round misses were Jalen Collins, Jaelen Strong, Jordan Phillips, and Eli Harold. Collins and Phillips "fell" to the second round. Strong and Harold were third round picks.

Looking back at past mock drafts is a humbling thing to do. Fun but humbling. Anybody so bold as to attempt a mock can get a feeling a superiority. Mockers get a feeling that they know what's best for each team. We really don't have a clue. The whole thing is a crapshoot. For the amateurs and the professionals. No one knows how these players will handle their shot.

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