Friday, April 26, 2019

The Real First Round

The Real Draft is finally here.

1.   Arizona Cardinals-Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
2.   San Francisco 49ers-Nick Bosa, DE, Ohio State
3.   New York Jets-Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama
4.   Oakland Raiders-Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson
5.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Devin White, LB, LSU
6.   New York Giants-Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
7.   Jacksonville Jaguars-Josh Allen, LB, Kentucky
8.   Detroit Lions-T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa
9.   Buffalo Bills-Ed Oliver, DT, Houston
10. Pittsburgh Steelers-Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
11. Cincinnati Bengals-Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
12. Green Bay Packers-Rashan Gary, Edge, Michigan
13. Miami Dolphins-Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson
14. Atlanta Falcons-Chris Lindstron, G, Boston College
15. Washington Redskins-Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
16. Carolina Panthers-Brian Burns, Edge, Florida State
17. New York Giants-Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
18. Minnesota Vikings-Garrett Bradbury, C, North Carolina State
19. Tennessee Titans-Jeffery Simmons, DT, Mississippi State
20. Denver Broncos-Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
21. Green Bay Packers-Darnell Savage, S, Maryland
22. Philadelphia Eagles-Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
23. Houston Texans-Tytus Howard, OT, Alabama State
24. Oakland Raiders-Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
25. Baltimore Ravens-Marquise Browns, WR, Oklahoma
26. Washington Redskins-Montez Sweat, DE, Mississippi State
27. Oakland Raiders-Johnathan Abram, S, Mississippi State
28. Los Angeles Chargers-Jerry Tillery, DT, Notre Dame
29. Seattle Seahawks-L.J. Collier, DE, TCU
30. New York Giants-Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia
31. Atlanta Falcons-Kaleb McGary, OT, Washington
32. New England Patriots-N'Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State

Draft Day Trades:
There were six draft day trades involving some of the above picks. The surprising thing about the trades was that none was made to move up for a quarterback. Teams have a tendency to do such a thing.
1. Steelers swapped some picks with the Broncos to move from #20 to #10 to select Michigan LB Devin Bush.
2. Packers swapped some picks with the Seahawks to move from #30 to #21 to select Michigan edge rusher Rashan Gary.
3. Eagles swapped some picks with the Ravens to move from #25 to #22 to select Washington State OT Andre Dillard.
4. Redskins gave some picks to the Colts jump back into the first round at #26 to select Mississippi edge rusher Montez Sweat.
5. Giants gave some picks to the Seahawks to jump back into the first round at #30 to select Georgia CB Deandre Baker.
6. Falcons gave some picks to the Rams to jump back into the first round at #31 to select Washington OT Kaleb McGary.

Some first round thoughts:
The most significant pick of the first round was, of course, the Minnesota Vikings selection of North Carolina State center Garrett Bradbury. I'm thrilled with this pick. A few weeks ago, I had finally settled on Bradbury and Alabama OL Jonah Williams as my first round favorites for the Vikings. One of the surprises of the first round was the lack of offensive linemen in the first half of it. Andre Dillard and Jawaan Taylor were each supposed to be selected as high as the top-10. Dillard slipped to #22. Taylor, the assumed top tackle in the draft, is still on the board. That's just another example of how little anyone knows as to how the teams actually see these players. Only Jonah Williams and Boston College guard Chris Lindstrom had been selected before the 18th pick. The Vikings had their choice of damn near the entire offensive line class and they chose Bradbury. He was one of the safest, most NFL-ready players in the draft and the ideal offensive line pick for the outside zone scheme being installed by new offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski and the Kubiak gang. Bradbury's floor is high. His ceiling is potentially very high. He's a "plug-and-play" center. Pat Elflein will move to left guard. The Vikings improved two positions with the selection of Garrett Bradbury. The Vikings have yet to anoint their new offensive lineman as their new center. Instead, the company line is that workouts, training camp, and preseason will sort out which player plays where. In pencil, I have Bradbury as the center and Elflein as the guard.

First round picks that I liked:
Garrett Bradbury, of course
Jaguars selection of Kentucky edge rusher Josh Allen
Steelers trade up for Michigan LB Devin Bush
Bengals selection of Alabama OT Jonah Williams
Dolphins selection of Clemson DT Christian Wilkins
Redskins selection of Ohio State QB Dwayne Haskins
Packers trade up for Maryland S Darnell Savage
Chargers selection of Notre Dame DT Jerry Tillery

I suppose that the Jaguars (Allen) and Redskins (Haskins) can be called brilliant for having the patience to wait for the players that they coveted to fall to them. It can also be called blind luck. In the case of the Jaguars and Redskins, I'm calling blind luck. I thought that Allen was, at worst, the second best player in this draft. As such, there's no way that he's on the board at #4, let alone #7. I had Haskins as the best quarterback. There were pre-draft rumors, for what that's worth, that the Redskins were desperately trying to jump into the top-5 for a quarterback. If their opinions on the position were similar to mine they got their guy without trading away a bunch of picks.

More Josh Allen:
This was the second consecutive draft in which a player named Josh Allen was selected with the seventh pick.

Clemson fielded one of the best defensive lines college football has ever seen. Christian Wilkins, Clelin Ferrell, Dexter Lawrence, Austin Bryant, and Albert Huggins were terrific players on the field and tremendous men off of it. Wilkins, Ferrell, and Lawrence were among the first 17 players selected last night. Bryant and Huggins should be drafted, perhaps as early as tonight. Congratulations to them. The manner in which Dabo Swinney is running the program at Clemson should be the model for college football.

Surprise picks of the first round:
Raiders selecting Clemson DE Clelin Ferrell
Andre Dillard falling to #22
Jawaan Taylor falling out of the first round.
Only one cornerback selected

After my praising of Clemson and those great defensive linemen it might be contradictory to list Ferrell as a surprise pick. His selection surprised me for a couple reasons. I expected Wilkins to be the first of the Tiger defensive lineman to be drafted and I expected Ferrell to be selected at least a dozen picks later than #4.

It's on to Round 2.



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